Why Apple Even Now Is Still Very Cheap

Apple_cheap
Apple (AAPL) closed yesterday at $392 a share. Many people view this as an expensive stock because of its high share price. However, it's not. On the contrary, it's actually still very cheap in comparison to many other stocks in the market. Let's look at why.

On a trailing price to earnings ratio, usually the most used metric in judging what makes a stock expensive, Apple sits at a very reasonable 15.5. Here is a chart of Apple's share price and P/E ratio over the last year:

Apple-stock-cheap
via businessinsider.com

Let's look at a few other tech companies for comparison:

  • Amazon - 92.6
  • Netflix - 65.9
  • Salesforce - 420.9
  • Google - 21.7

And those are just tech stocks. It gets better when you look across other industries. 

The kicker is that Apple's revenue is actually still accelerating. Their revenue growth on a year over year basis is an astounding 82%

Where do other tech companies stand?

  • Amazon - 51%
  • Netflix - 48%
  • Google - 32%
  • Microsoft - 8%

It's actually kind of silly when you compare these growth rates to the P/E ratios above. With these growth rates, Apple is still very much a growth stock. So it's no suprise that some analysts think its stock will reach $1,000. And he's not the only one

Other than these purely financial metrics, here are a few other reasons why I am bullish on Apple:

With all these bullish signs going Apple's way and looking at the stock's fundamentals, it is clear that Apple is still dirt cheap. 

Needless to say, I am buying. If the institutions / big boys want it badly, then I want it badly too. I plan on buying and holding while also trading the swings. In fact, just yesterday I picked up some Jan '12 option calls. 

To the folks that say, "oh I don't have a lot of money to invest and you need a lot of money to buy Apple for it to be worth your while", I say that's simply not true. It doesn't matter about the share price, just the percentage gain. You could buy one share at $400 and if it goes up to $500 you have still made 25% on your dollars in. And honestly I don't see a surer thing in the market. 

Also: Why I'm Buying LinkedIn

Filed under  //  apple   iPad   iPhone   investing   stocks  
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Pandora is the #2 App of All-Time

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TechCrunch reported this week that Apple has unveiled a page within the iTunes Store that shows the top app downloads of all time. In the list Pandora shows up as the #2 most downloaded free iPhone app of all-time.

This news got me thinking about the first time I saw the iPhone. Pandora was one of the first apps I played with. I remember thinking it was nothing short of magical. The integration was so powerful in its simplicity. It wasn't until that moment that I saw the true potential of iPhone. I remember thinking at the time: "if Pandora could do this so well, imagine what the rest of developers out there can do..."

In fact, it was Pandora's iPhone integration that led me to look for a job there a few months later. I knew it was going to be important. Exactly how big, I had no idea. The iPhone was truly a game-changer for Pandora. As Pandora's founder Tim Westergren said on Charlie Rose, the iPhone's importance to Pandora is impossible to overstate. It really changed users' perceptions of Pandora into an anytime, anywhere experience.

Pandora is also the #1 free iPad app of all-time. For those of you who have seen the iPad integration, it is no surprise why. It is equally impressive in its simplicity.

Here are the full lists of the top free iPhone and iPad apps:

All-Time Top Free iPhone Apps

  1. Facebook
  2. Pandora
  3. Google Mobile App
  4. Shazam
  5. Movies by Flixster
  6. The Weather Channel
  7. Google Earth
  8. Bump
  9. Skype
  10. Paper Toss

All-Time Top Free iPad Apps

  1. Pandora
  2. Google Mobile App
  3. Movies by Flixster
  4. Google Earth
  5. Yelp
  6. Fandango Movies
  7. Remote
  8. iBooks
  9. Bible
  10. Solitaire

 

Filed under  //  iPad   iPhone   pandora  
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Pandora Founder Tim Westergren on Charlie Rose

Here's a clip from Tim Westergen's interview with Charlie Rose last week. The clip is about the iPhone and it's relevance to Pandora.

To the question,

"What has the iPhone and related devices done for Pandora?"

Tim responded:

"It's impossible to overstate. The iPhone has...almost doubled our growth rate overnight. More important, perhaps, it changed the way consumers perceived Pandora. Most people came to Pandora on a laptop, principally at work. When the iPhone came out, suddenly you could take Pandora with you. You could go to the gym and be on the treadmill. Or you could buy a $2 adapter and plug it into your car."

I couldn't find a way to embed the full video but go check it out in full here.

Or if you'd prefer, here is a synopsis from Businessweek.

You can follow Tim on Twitter here.

Filed under  //  iPhone   interview   pandora  
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Pandora’s Tom Conrad on Developing Mobile Apps

Pandora has had a charmed history with mobile platforms — the company’s music streaming app is one of the most popular on just about every type of phone out there. It just makes a lot of sense to have personalized radio in your pocket. But with a small developer team and a confusing emerging mobile platform world, it wasn’t as if Pandora always knew what to do or even why it was succeeding.

In a recent talk at Digg, Pandora CTO Tom Conrad traced the history of his company’s experience with mobile platforms, making a number of counterintuitive observations about what worked and what didn’t.

Great talk on developing for mobile platforms by Pandora's own Tom Conrad.

Filed under  //  android   iPhone   pandora  
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John Gruber on 'First to Do It' vs. 'First to Do It Right'

Here’s the test. Take some normal people, where by “normal” I mean people who have never heard of TechCrunch or Daring Fireball. Give them brand new still-in-the-box iPhone 4’s and HTC Evos. Now ask them to make a video call to one another. With the iPhone 4, they’re going to be able to do it. The only thing that’s technically confusing about FaceTime is that it only works via Wi-Fi (I think many people have little understanding of the difference between Wi-Fi and 3G data — at least insofar as why a feature would work over one but not the other). Otherwise, FaceTime is as easy to use as making a regular voice call. There is no such thing as a “FaceTime account” you need to create or log in to. It doesn’t require the installation of any third-party apps. All you need to know is that the iPhone 4 can make video calls, and that the feature is called “FaceTime”. And I’ll bet the little instructional card inside the iPhone 4 box will make that perfectly clear.

How many normal people even know that Qik and Fring exist? Are Android users supposed to install both apps, so they can make video calls to people who’ve only installed one or the other?

It’s not that there’s anything wrong with Qik or Fring in and of themselves. Nor is it to say that Android doesn’t have its own first-to-do-right features, like, say, the ability to dictate text-to-speech in any text field. It’s about the mindset of the companies that made the phones. Do you include the half-baked stuff, or hold it until it’s fully-baked? Apple wasn’t going to include a front-facing camera until they had software that made it useful in an iPhone-caliber way. HTC is happy to include a front-facing camera and leave its utility (and user experience) in the hands of third-party developers.

Android and iPhone fans will read the preceding paragraph very differently. Android fans will read it and say, “Exactly — give us the hardware and let developers figure out what to do with it.” iPhone fans will read it and say, “I can’t wait to get an iPhone 4.

Great post from John Gruber. Check it out in full here.

Goes directly in line with my last post on why FaceTime will be successful at bringing video calling to mobile.

Filed under  //  apple   facetime   iPhone   product design  
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FaceTime Will Successfully Bring Video Calling to Mobile and Here's Why

One-tap simple.

FaceTime works right out of the box — no need to set up a special account or screen name. And using FaceTime is as easy as it gets. Let’s say you want to start a video call with your best friend. Just find her entry in your Contacts and tap the FaceTime button. Or maybe you’re already on a voice call with her and you want to switch to video. Just tap the FaceTime button on the Phone screen. Either way, an invitation pops up on her iPhone 4 screen asking if she wants to join you. When she accepts, the video call begins. It’s all perfectly seamless. And it works in both portrait and landscape modes.

FaceTime is going to be huge. I can't wait to be able to make video calls with all my friends and family here and back east.

Sachin, of Posterous fame, thinks FaceTime will be successful because you don't need an account. This is a guy who knows about software. Much of Posterous' success stems from the fact that you don't need an account to get started, you can immediately start posting without an account. (FYI, this blog is hosted with Posterous)

Sachin makes the point:

"FaceTime will work because it doesn't change the device you use or your existing behavior."

I couldn't agree more. Apple makes it work right out of the box with no software or new accounts needed.

Now there's a hell of a lot of work going on in the background to make this possible. But not to users.

And that's the thing about Apple. Their software is simple and "just works."

We can't say that about most other companies, especially when it comes to mobile.

 

Filed under  //  apple   facetime   iPhone   product design  
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