Why Apple Even Now Is Still Very Cheap

Apple_cheap
Apple (AAPL) closed yesterday at $392 a share. Many people view this as an expensive stock because of its high share price. However, it's not. On the contrary, it's actually still very cheap in comparison to many other stocks in the market. Let's look at why.

On a trailing price to earnings ratio, usually the most used metric in judging what makes a stock expensive, Apple sits at a very reasonable 15.5. Here is a chart of Apple's share price and P/E ratio over the last year:

Apple-stock-cheap
via businessinsider.com

Let's look at a few other tech companies for comparison:

  • Amazon - 92.6
  • Netflix - 65.9
  • Salesforce - 420.9
  • Google - 21.7

And those are just tech stocks. It gets better when you look across other industries. 

The kicker is that Apple's revenue is actually still accelerating. Their revenue growth on a year over year basis is an astounding 82%

Where do other tech companies stand?

  • Amazon - 51%
  • Netflix - 48%
  • Google - 32%
  • Microsoft - 8%

It's actually kind of silly when you compare these growth rates to the P/E ratios above. With these growth rates, Apple is still very much a growth stock. So it's no suprise that some analysts think its stock will reach $1,000. And he's not the only one

Other than these purely financial metrics, here are a few other reasons why I am bullish on Apple:

With all these bullish signs going Apple's way and looking at the stock's fundamentals, it is clear that Apple is still dirt cheap. 

Needless to say, I am buying. If the institutions / big boys want it badly, then I want it badly too. I plan on buying and holding while also trading the swings. In fact, just yesterday I picked up some Jan '12 option calls. 

To the folks that say, "oh I don't have a lot of money to invest and you need a lot of money to buy Apple for it to be worth your while", I say that's simply not true. It doesn't matter about the share price, just the percentage gain. You could buy one share at $400 and if it goes up to $500 you have still made 25% on your dollars in. And honestly I don't see a surer thing in the market. 

Also: Why I'm Buying LinkedIn

Filed under  //  apple   iPad   iPhone   investing   stocks  
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Pandora is the #2 App of All-Time

Pandora_all_time_iphone

TechCrunch reported this week that Apple has unveiled a page within the iTunes Store that shows the top app downloads of all time. In the list Pandora shows up as the #2 most downloaded free iPhone app of all-time.

This news got me thinking about the first time I saw the iPhone. Pandora was one of the first apps I played with. I remember thinking it was nothing short of magical. The integration was so powerful in its simplicity. It wasn't until that moment that I saw the true potential of iPhone. I remember thinking at the time: "if Pandora could do this so well, imagine what the rest of developers out there can do..."

In fact, it was Pandora's iPhone integration that led me to look for a job there a few months later. I knew it was going to be important. Exactly how big, I had no idea. The iPhone was truly a game-changer for Pandora. As Pandora's founder Tim Westergren said on Charlie Rose, the iPhone's importance to Pandora is impossible to overstate. It really changed users' perceptions of Pandora into an anytime, anywhere experience.

Pandora is also the #1 free iPad app of all-time. For those of you who have seen the iPad integration, it is no surprise why. It is equally impressive in its simplicity.

Here are the full lists of the top free iPhone and iPad apps:

All-Time Top Free iPhone Apps

  1. Facebook
  2. Pandora
  3. Google Mobile App
  4. Shazam
  5. Movies by Flixster
  6. The Weather Channel
  7. Google Earth
  8. Bump
  9. Skype
  10. Paper Toss

All-Time Top Free iPad Apps

  1. Pandora
  2. Google Mobile App
  3. Movies by Flixster
  4. Google Earth
  5. Yelp
  6. Fandango Movies
  7. Remote
  8. iBooks
  9. Bible
  10. Solitaire

 

Filed under  //  iPad   iPhone   pandora  
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The Next Big Thing Is Touch

I was catching up on some links I've been storing up in Instapaper and came across this article by John Doerr on the iPad and the the expansion of Kleiner Perkins' iFund.    

The whole article is great so I recommend reading it in it's entirety. However, I felt Doerr and team really nailed it with this graphic and section titled under "The New World." It really resonates with my last post about the future of computing being Touch:

Ifund4

The New World

We’re going from the Old World to a brave New World.

  • From the Old World of the traditional, tired window interfaces… to the wonderful new world of TOUCH.
  • From the Old World of Point and Click to the new SWOOSH of Fluidity.
  • Instead of old, artificial, indirect interfaces, the iPad is direct and NATURAL.
  • Instead of WYSIWyg – what you see is what you get – it is WYTIWis. What You Touch… IS what IS.
  • Instead of holding a MOUSE, you’re holding MAGIC.

The second bullet is my favorite here. With iPad, HP's Slate, Google's upcoming tablet, and other future Android-powered tablets, Touch is entering our worlds in a big way.

Need more evidence on the growing importance of Touch? On a day when Apple updated their Macbook Pro line, typically a very noteworthy announcement, the Apple homepage looked like this:

Apple_homepage_ipad
Expect the trend to continue.

 

 

Filed under  //  apple   iPad   product design   touch  
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Great iPad UX Analysis From a 2.5 Year Old

I came across this great video on Laughing Squid of a 2.5 year-old using an iPad for this first time.   

Granted, the author mentions she is already used to an iPhone. Yet with an entirely new form factor she still takes right to it — quickly finding and playing her favorite spelling game, figuring out how to enlarge iPhone-only apps to full-size, navigating from one app to the next, and scrolling through photos (there's a really cute moment when she sees a picture of "her and doggy").

It's just fascinating to me how she interacts with the iPad. She really is one of the new Children of Cyberspace. This first line from that article stuck with me:

"My 2-year-old daughter surprised me recently with two words: “Daddy’s book.” She was holding my Kindle electronic reader."

Unlike you and I, these children are growing up completely comfortable with multitouch interfaces. As the Laughing Squid author mentions of his daughter: 

"Her expectations about computing will be shaped by the fact that she’s growing up in a touchscreen world."  

And he's right. For these children it will no longer by point-and-click. It will be TOUCH-and-SWIPE.

 

Filed under  //  iPad   product design   touch  
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The iPad Is The First Personal Computer... What You Have Is A Work Computer.

People have asked what the killer app of the iPad is. It’s obvious! The killer app of the iPad is chilling out. You don’t sit it down in your lap, the screen doesn’t come up and block reality- it’s something you pick up and hold. And, like a book, you can simply put it down.

Reading a Kindle in a coffee shop is a casual thing, you can sip your coffee as you linger over the words, taking breaks now and again to people watch a bit. Reading on your laptop is intense- you fall into the world of the glowing rectangle, and shifting away from that world feels awkward, stilted.

The iPad lets you use a computer like a book. You pick it up. You watch a YouTube video. You watch a tv show. You play some music. You check your email. However, each of these things happen in isolation. You are checking your email, you are watching a YouTube video, or you are reading Huffington Post. There’s no in-between. You aren’t consumed by the device, because there’s no ability to be efficient while working on it. It is a device that’s functional enough to be useful, and stilted enough to be inefficient. It’s the first Personal Computer- good for hanging out in the living room, terrible for ‘real’ work. That’s why it’s fantastic! You can leave your ‘pad on the kitchen table, wake up, make yourself a cup of coffee, and browse a couple sites as you sip coffee. Then, when you’re done, you walk away and go to your ‘real’ computer to get work done.

The iPad is there for 1 or 2 hours a day, after work, before work, at the coffee shop, on a plane. Everywhere that your goal is specifically not to be efficient, but rather to chill out. The iPad’s a personal computer. Right now, we only have work computers.

Great post. Sums up my feelings on the iPad.

Filed under  //  apple   iPad   product design  
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Pandora: Coming To An iPad Near You

The iPad version takes advantage of the large 9.7 inch screen of the device. Rather than having to switch views to see things such as your stations, they can reside on the left hand side of the screen as your album artwork and artist information is on the right hand side. Artist information is a particular area of emphasis with this new app. The top player looks similar to iTunes now, with play and pause buttons, as well as thumbs up and thumbs down buttons. There is also an easy-to-access search box along the top.

On top of the new iPad app, Pandora CTO Tom Conrad tweeted earlier today that the service has just signed up its 50 millionth user (up from 40 million this past December). Good timing, they’re potentially about to get a whole lot more from this new device.

Find Pandora in the App Store here. It’s a free download.

That's right. Pandora is coming to an iPad near you.

Here's the official Pandora blog post on the release.

Filed under  //  iPad   pandora  
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With The iPad, Apple Gets Into The Mobile CPU Business

But: everyone I spoke to in the press room was raving first and foremost about the speed. None of us could shut up about it. It feels impossibly fast. (And our next thought: What happens if Apple has figured out a way to make a CPU like A4 that fits in an iPhone? If they pull that off for this year’s new iPhone, look out.)

Apple doesn’t talk much about the technical details of the iPhone. They never talk about CPU speed or the name of the chip being used. They don’t tell you how much RAM is in there. Part of their vision for moving computers from technical culture to popular culture is about getting away from defining these things by their technical specs. So the prominent talk about A4 is telling. This is something they want us to notice.

I mentioned this year-ago quote from Apple COO Tim Cook the other day, but it’s apt here, too. Cook told BusinessWeek, “We believe in the simple, not the complex. We believe that we need to own and control the primary technologies behind the products we make, and participate only in markets where we can make a significant contribution.”

Apple now owns and controls their own mobile CPUs. There aren’t many companies in the world that can say that. And from what I saw today, Apple doesn’t just own and control a mobile CPU, they own and control the hands-down best mobile CPU in the world. Software aside (which is a huge thing to put aside), it may well be that no other company could make a device today matching the price, size, and performance of the iPad. They’re not getting into the CPU business for kicks, they’re getting into it to kick ass.

Apple is now in control of their own processors. Thus, they're finally in charge of the whole system, top to bottom. This is a big deal.

The quote from Jobs says it all, “Apple is a mobile devices company.”

Filed under  //  apple   iPad   mobile  
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